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NCR COVID-19 reproduction number decreasing — OCTA Research

August 29 2021
The Chinese General hospital in Manila has also declared full capacity, along with Ospital ng Sampaloc on sunday as Covid19 cases continue to rise this week, with the country recording it’s highest ever daily tally on August 28 with 19,441 Covid19 cases pushing the country’s total past to 1.9 million mark.

MANILA, Philippines — Metro Manila’s COVID-19 reproduction number is decreasing, a senior fellow at independent pandemic monitor OCTA Research said Thursday.

According to Guido David, Metro Manila’s current reproduction number, or the average number of people who could be infected by one positive case, has decreased to 1.28 from the previous 1.34.

“NCR reproduction number decreased to 1.28 (with an error margin of up to +0.05). 1-week growth rate decreased to 9%. NCR has not yet peaked but there is hope that it may happen in 1-2 weeks,” he said in a tweet.

In a separate tweet on Wednesday, David said that the seven-day average of new cases in the region was at 5,854 with a one-week growth rate of 11 percent and 1.34 reproduction number.

He also said that the reproduction number of COVID-19 cases in Metro Manila was at 1.39 last week.

The Department of Health (DOH) has yet to confirm whether this means that COVID-19 cases in Metro Manila are decreasing following the implementation of lockdowns and other health measures.

Metro Manila has 48,381 active cases of the disease as of Wednesday, based on the DOH tracker. Nationwide, there are 170,446 active cases of COVID-19.


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